polling accuracy – Quill Sword

Archena October 2, 2026October 2, 2026Current, FridayDemocrats, election misinformation, election polls, margin of error, Media bias, Midterm Elections, Political analysis, political commentary, political manipulation, political polling, polling accuracy, Republicans, voter behavior, voter turnout, Voting

Politics, Polling and Ploys

We’re less than six weeks from the midterms. You may safely ignore every prediction, mine included. We humans only come in messy. Whether well intended, as I hope my comments are, or purely mistaken, which I try to avoid, or outright lies – y’all just quit bothering to listen to me at all the instant you catch me doing that – no commentary is perfect. No analysis is perfect. No people are perfect so it should come as no surprise … Continue reading “Politics, Polling and Ploys”

Archena November 2, 2024November 2, 2024Current, Wednesdayconservative analysis, election 2024, election predictions, Media bias, political rallies, poll aggregation, poll reliability, polling accuracy, polling bias, polling limitations, Real Clear Politics, small sample size, swing states, Trump support, voter sentiment

Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t

I considered just dumping the blog below this one because it is from last week and I didn’t get around to posting it on time but it shows my work and how I decide what to review when I’m looking at polls. Aggregators like Real Clear Politics are useful because they’ve already hunted down all the wild polls, but averaging is just dumb. I will ignore the average. There are so few good enough polls available right now that I … Continue reading “Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t”

Tag polling accuracy

Tag: polling accuracy

Politics, Polling and Ploys

Looking at the Polls and Wishing I Weren’t